Baseball Underdogs - In 2010, We're Going for Our 7th Straight Profitable Season.
Baseball Underdog Picks
» Our 2010 MLB underdog picks are delivered via email overnight. To receive our baseball picks and our
MLB Underdogs Report,
scroll to the bottom of this page.
» Our unique baseball betting formula focuses on MLB underdogs - and we have
several years of experience analyzing this betting niche.
Current 2010 Record:
- 34.18 Units
How are plays graded?
Each game is 1 unit. If a +150 team wins,
it's +1.50 units. If they lose, it's -1.00 unit.
How are plays graded?
Each game is 1 unit. If a +150 team wins,
it's +1.50 units. If they lose, it's -1.00 unit.
Baseball Picks -
We've got the baseball stats tools to help you win!
Fresh MLB underdog stats brewed daily during the season.
Baseball Betting System
You can win less than half your games betting on baseball underdogs and still show a decent profit. That is one of the great things
about baseball betting.
Most inexperienced players bet on MLB favorites - in particular heavy MLB favorites. But longitudinal studies
show that if you were to bet on all favorites you would lose four times more money than if you bet
on all MLB underdogs.
Betting on all MLB favorites or on all MLB underdogs
throughout the entire season will yield a flat loss. So the idea is to look for key situational factors when betting
on baseball underdogs. Watch for the oddsmakers' tendency to inflate the lines on the
MLB favorites - this can provide good value for baseball underdogs in certain matchups.
We've been studying baseball underdogs for many years now. Each season we dissect all 30 of the MLB
teams and report how they are performing in various underdog situations. We even look at how each starting
pitcher performs in underdog situations.
Our MLB stats will help give you the edge you need to put you on more winners and off more losers.
If you're comparing the results with the ROI of the stock market, bond market, money market return,
savings return, etc., the ROI of playing the baseball underdogs system would have far exceeded the other returns.
There is obviously more volatility (and risk) with betting on underdogs than
there would be with parking your money in a money market account for a summer. But higher
risk has yielded higher returns over time with the MLB underdogs.
"One of the most impressive things about your service besides your
record is the fact the I can count on having the plays every
morning before I wake up. This makes it very easy to wager
on baseball as I place all of my bets prior to leaving the
house for work.
Your reliability, continual
insight and overall record is truly outstanding. Thank you!"
Jeff T., Houston, TX
2010 MLB Picks -
There are 2,430 MLB regular season games this
season...and we'll be studying every one
of them.
For a very reasonable price, we'll crunch the daily stats for you while you enjoy the summertime.
- A Successful Approach to Playing Baseball Underdogs -
Based on a Top-Down Predictive Model of MLB Dogs
The Baseball Underdog Betting Specialists!
We focus on Major League Baseball underdogs. Our daily in-season MLB Underdogs Report
contains tons of baseball picks and profitable baseball betting stats on the underdog performance of all 30 MLB Teams!
BaseballModel.com - What It's All About...
Major League Baseball information site that utilizes a unique baseball underdog betting system for predicting
the outcomes of MLB underdog games. Our baseball underdogs formula is based on our predictive model of underdogs' performance in key situations.
In a nutshell:
Our highly successful baseball betting formula has profited handsomely over the past six MLB seasons with its MLB picks.
Discover for yourself why our baseball underdogs system has an edge on sportsbooks...
A Unique Approach to Betting Baseball Underdogs
We have a different strategy of playing baseball underdogs - and it has paid off...
If you add up our total winning units for the 2004-2009 baseball seasons, we have won 188.40 units. Our 6-year
average is +31.40 units per season.
A $100 player is up $18,840 in that time span.
A $200 player is up $37,680.
A $300 player is up $56,520.
...and with our MLB Underdogs Report that comes with a subscription, you can earn even more profits.
We have had success with this unique baseball betting system for several seasons now.
Baseball Handicappers vs. Unbiased MLB Statistics Reporting:
What is unique about our service versus the traditional baseball handicappers?
We give you underdog stats you can use. We specialize in baseball underdogs and we analyze every
MLB game during the entire 6 month regular season.
If you're a $100 player and our underdog stats put you
on just three additional winners (or keeps you off three losing games) during the entire 6 month season, then your
membership has already paid for itself.
We don't accept any advertising. Never have, never will. Our
reporting is unbiased, and we are not beholden to anyone. Please don't confuse us with the baseball tout services
out there!
Take a good look at their banner ads and other sportsbook advertising on their websites. Those baseball handicappers
get revenue from their service regardless of whether or not they win.
Our service is driven by our unique baseball statistics and not by "lock of the week" baseball picks
or "five star guarantee MLB pick of the day" type gimmicks.
MLB Underdogs Report - Membership Benefits
Our MLB Underdogs Report offers value for those who are too busy to come up with their own baseball stats or MLB picks
and for those who want to come up with their own baseball predictions by doing some baseball handicapping themselves...
First, the MLB Underdogs Report offers our baseball picks, which as you can see have had a pretty good track record.
Second, the MLB Underdogs Report ranks all 30 Major League Baseball Teams according to how well they are
performing as an underdog year-to-date. This gives you good insight for your own baseball betting strategies.
The MLB Underdogs Report will show you:
Which baseball underdog teams are profitable?
Which underdog teams are losing money?
Which teams are profitable as MLB home dogs?
Which MLB road dogs are profitable?
Which baseball teams are on a roll as underdogs?
Which teams are on bad streaks as MLB dogs?
Which baseball underdogs are winning big in the 2nd half the season?
What are the rankings of the profitable underdog teams?
Which teams win at home as underdogs, but lose on the road, and visa versa?
Top Tier MLB Ballparks
This Excel worksheet shows how underdogs are doing in the toughest venues in baseball. In some cases
it is simply a good idea to avoid playing underdogs in road games where the home team wins a
very high percentage of the time.
Won-Loss Records for all 30 MLB Teams
The MLB Report now also shows all 30 baseball teams' won-loss records as underdogs,
at home, on the road, and overall. This helps put you on more winners and avoid more losers.
Subscribe and get the daily in-season MLB Underdogs Report.
If you don't agree with some of our MLB picks, or want insight into which teams might be good plays,
the MLB Dogs Report will assist you.
What Does All of This Mean To You?
More Profits off your MLB Picks.
* Note that while our underdogs plays come via an overnight newsletter delivered to your email, you will
need Microsoft Excel to view the MLB team underdogs ranking feature. If you don't have Microsoft Excel on
your computer, you can still view MLB team underdogs ranking feature by downloading a free Microsoft Excel
viewer. You can download
the free Microsoft Excel viewer here.
Excellent ROI and POT (Profit on Turnover) Numbers-
Our yearly Return on Investment (ROI) numbers on our baseball betting system have ranged from the low end of 38% to
the high end of 241%. Return on Investment in this case is calculated by the total gain method and assumes
in this example a bankroll of $5,000, wagering $100 per play. For example, in the 2004 season, if you started with a $5,000 bankroll
and wagered $100 per play, you would have finished the season with $12,048, which is a return on investment
of 241%.
Our yearly Profit on Turnover (POT) numbers on our baseball betting system have ranged from the low end of 2.86% to the high end of 9.06%.
MLB Season
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Month
Units (1 unit per game)
Units (1 unit per game)
Units (1 unit per game)
Units (1 unit per game)
Units (1 unit per game)
Units (1 unit per game)
April
17.01
5.01
13.37
7.61
23.48
16.81
May
21.12
6.80
1.78
-8.79
-13.63
-16.79
June
-3.17
-1.15
12.44
19.26
9.87
15.77
July
-2.11
-4.14
-6.50
1.06
13.74
-29.52
August
11.78
10.51
15.55
13.94
-26.88
9.84
Sept.
25.85
4.12
-2.31
5.69
12.64
8.34
Yearly Total
+70.48
+21.15
+34.33
+38.77
+19.22
+4.45
There are 5 potential scenarios to prepare for in any predictive model:
probable, possible, preferable, wildcard negative, and wildcard positive.
Given our statistics, we can project that on average, a +20 to +45 unit season is probable. A 40+ unit season
is possible. A <20 (less than 20 unit) season would be the wildcard
negative (rare but as we saw in 2009, it can happen),
and a 70+ unit is a wildcard positive (we experienced that in 2004).
This is all based on 1 unit per play (for example, a $100 player wagering the same flat amount per game).
The Perfect Storm for MLB underdogs was in 2004-
The 2004 Season was certainly on the high end. It was an example of a wildcard positive. It was a year when everything
went our way. But, it gave us a taste
of what is possible when it all comes together.
Our overnight baseball picks are delivered to you via email.
YES! I'm Ready to Take My MLB Underdog Betting Strategies to the Next
Level With the MLB Underdogs Report!
2010 Season Pass Rate: Just $297
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Baseball Picks - Our Experience Makes the Difference
The Baseball Underdogs System is backed by several years of experience playing and studying underdogs.
We've been analyzing underdogs statistics for quite some time now, and our hard work has paid off. Our underdogs
probabilistic model is backed by eight years of studying MLB dogs.
We use the most sophisticated baseball predictive modeling database out there. Similar predictive models are
used by the government, scientists, and futurists. We use the underpinnings of
predictive modeling methods on our personal passion - baseball underdogs.
- Jim Fitzpatrick & Mike McKay, Co-Founders BaseballModel.com
4.45 Units
